At our November 2024 meeting, the Montgomery County Young Democrats heard a presentation on the 2024 presidential election results, what happened, and why Donald Trump won and Kamala Harris lost. You can view the presentation here.
A short summary of its contents:
We can be pleased with Maryland’s election results–April Delaney won her congressional race and Angela Alsobrooks won the Senate race, meaning she will be Maryland’s first Black woman Senator.
But Donald Trump beat Kamala Harris decisively in most of the swing states. He won almost all of them, giving him an Electoral College victory of 303 to 212. And he got more votes–49.9% of the popular vote compared to 48.4% for Kamala Harris.
Turnout was extremely high, but Trump managed to get a bunch of voters who normally aren’t super interested in politics to come out and vote for him. Some voters were frustrated with inflation and looking for someone to blame, and Harris was perceived by them as a quasi-incumbent.
Trump also hates immigrants, stoked xenophobia, and benefited from a perceived crisis and flood of undocumented immigrants at the border.
There was also increased polarization by education. College educated voters moved toward Harris and the Democrats, with more of them voting for her. More non-college educated voters moved toward Trump and the Republicans.
Finally, Trump made inroads with certain voters: he managed to win more Hispanic votes, more Asian American votes, and a small but crucial number of Black votes.
The next four years will be hard and dangerous. But we Montgomery County Young Democrats will continue to organize and push for policies that benefit everyone.